๐ŸŒ Sweden to become 32nd member of NATO


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Hi there Intriguer.ย The British and Australian prime ministers just took a moment at the NATO summit to rib each other about cricket scores. But it could be worse: a FIFA World Cup qualifier once triggered an all-out war between Honduras and El Salvador.

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Todayโ€™s briefing is a 5 min read:

  • ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ทย Turkey finally relents on Swedenโ€™s NATO bid.

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ Foxconn pulls out of its India chip factory plan.

  • โž• Plus: Snow in South Africa, how the papers are covering the retirement of Thailandโ€™s prime minister, and why Aussies are googling โ€˜AO3โ€™.

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โฑ๏ธ Around the world in sixty seconds

  1. ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ผย Taiwan: Authorities have announced theyโ€™ll hold Taiwanโ€™s first large-scale safety drill in decades to simulate a Chinese attack on the island. Around 3 million people are expected to take part in the simulation.

  2. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บย Russia: President Vladimir Putin reportedly met Wagner chief Yevgeny Prigozhin for three hours of high-stakes talks, shortly after the groupโ€™s mutiny last month. Prigozhin then travelled to Belarus, though new evidence suggests he hasnโ€™t remained there.

  3. ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ญย Cambodia: Prime Minister Hun Sen has urged Ukraine not to use its US-supplied cluster munitions, citing the danger they pose to civilians. Cambodia continues to clear unexploded US cluster munitions from the 1970s.

  4. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ทย Argentina: Buenos Aires has inaugurated the first portion of a gas pipeline to boost the countryโ€™s energy independence. Argentina has among the worldโ€™s largest shale gas reserves but still imports large quantities of LNG.

  5. ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฟย Mozambique: Former Finance Minister Manuel Chang will be extradited to the US to face fraud charges. Chang, whoโ€™s been detained in South Africa since 2018, was involved in the vast โ€˜tuna bondโ€™ scandal that triggered Mozambiqueโ€™s economic collapse in 2016.

๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Turkey | Defence & security

Sweden to become 32nd member of NATO

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Turkish President Recep Tayyip ErdoฤŸan finally agreed on Monday (10 July) to green-light Swedenโ€™s long-delayed bid to join NATO, just hours before the allianceโ€™s two-day summit in Lithuania.

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Sweden and Finland applied to join NATO in May 2022, but had their applications held up by Turkeyโ€™s demands that they both:

  1. ๐Ÿ’ช Lift their ban on arms sales to Turkey (imposed after Turkeyโ€™s 2019 incursion against a Kurdish militia in Syria)

  2. ๐Ÿš“ย Crack down on Kurdish separatists within their countries, and

  3. โš–๏ธ Extradite dozens of people to Turkey, where they mostly face charges of supporting Kurdish separatist groups.

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Finland cleared the hurdles in April but Sweden, with its occasional Quran-burning protests and large Kurdish diaspora, struggled to win Turkey over.

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Then after Mondayโ€™s surprise meeting with his Swedish counterpart plus the NATO chief, ErdoฤŸan finally relented in exchange for:

  1. โš”๏ธ More Swedish and NATO counterterrorism pledges (certain Kurdish separatists are listed as terrorists across the West), and

  2. ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Swedenโ€™s help reinvigorating Turkeyโ€™s EU bid (this seems mostly symbolic, as these talks have been in permafrost for decades).

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Intrigueโ€™s take: This whole saga has given off more โ€œwill he? wonโ€™t he?โ€ vibes than a season finale of The Bachelor.

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But while ErdoฤŸan has managed to extract some legit concessions along the way, his decision is not just transactional: after years of playing the middle to maximise Turkeyโ€™s advantage, ErdoฤŸan has watched Russia stumble, and now seems to be siding pretty firmly with the West in response.

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Also worth noting:

  • ErdoฤŸan has also recently backed Ukraineโ€™s NATO bid, returned Ukrainian POWs, hosted President Zelensky, hosted the NATO chief twice, and offered Turkish warships to escort Ukrainian grain.

  • Sweden stretches more than 1000km along the strategic Baltic Sea, and is a major manufacturer of artillery and military aircraft.

  • A day after Turkey green-lit Swedenโ€™s NATO accession, the US approved the long-delayed sale of $20B in F-16s to Turkey.

๐Ÿ“ฐ How newspapers coveredโ€ฆ

Thai Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-chaโ€™s announcement that he plans to retire from politics

Singapore

โ€œThailand PM Prayut announces retirement from politicsโ€

Hong Kong

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โ€œNine years after staging a coup, Thai PM Chan-ocha retiresโ€

Bangkok, Thailand

โ€œCaretaker premier resigns, says he did his best in nine years in officeโ€

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Todayโ€™s newsletter is supported by: The Daily Upside

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Weโ€™ve partnered with The Daily Upside to help them conduct a quick study to ensure your media needs are being met.

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We’d be super grateful if you took 5 minutes out of your day to fill in the survey โ€“ and itโ€™ll give you a chance to shape how we talk about the stories and topics you’re most passionate about. If you do, we’ll send you hugs tighter than Modi’s ๐Ÿคž.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India | Tech

India Foxconn factory deal falls through

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Foxconn, the world’s largest tech manufacturer, has pulled out from a vaunted $19.5B joint venture to build a semiconductor plant in India.

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Foxconn is kinda a big deal:

  • ๐Ÿ“ฑ It makes products for giants like Apple, Microsoft and IBM

  • ๐Ÿง‘โ€๐Ÿญ It employs three quarters of a million folks worldwide, and

  • ๐Ÿ’ฐ And it rakes in almost a quarter trillion in revenues each year.

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The Taiwanese company didnโ€™t say why the deal fell through, but reports suggest itโ€™s related to delays in Indian government incentives and approvals.

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Intrigueโ€™s take: Prime Minister Modi has been looking to boost this sector for a decade, and he seemed to have the wind at his back: Foxconn was just one of many spooked firms looking at India as a way to diversify away from China.

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So just as this dealโ€™s announcement was a real head-turning moment for India last year, its cancellation will now turn heads too.

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Also worth noting:

  • Prime Minister Modi launched his โ€˜Make in Indiaโ€™ initiative in 2014, aimed at boosting Indian manufacturing.

  • Foxconnโ€™s plant was slated for possible construction in Gujarat, Indiaโ€™s manufacturing hub and Prime Minister Modiโ€™s home state.

  • Foxconn already has (lower tech) factories in the Indian states of Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu.

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โž• Extra Intrigue

Hereโ€™s what people around the world were googling yesterday, Tuesday 11 July.

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Aussies were searching for โ€˜โ€‹โ€‹AO3โ€™, a popular fanfiction platform targeted in cyberattacks by a group calling itself โ€˜Anonymous Sudanโ€™.

  • Folks in โ€‹โ€‹๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ชย Ireland were feverishly googling โ€˜Mission: Impossible 7โ€™, in hopes of scoring tickets to the newly released flick.

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ Mexicans were looking to stay up to date with their popular president by searching for โ€˜Andrรฉs Manuel Lรณpez Obrador amloโ€™.

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๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ Poll time!

Do you think the concessions made to Turkey were worth getting Ankara to drop its NATO veto against Sweden?

Login or Subscribe to participate in polls.

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Ps. Congrats to the 37 people who answered that Sweden would be let into NATO in less than two months in last Thursdayโ€™s poll. Right on the money!

๐Ÿ“ธ Picture of the day

Credits: Johannesburg resident Gabriel Sussman plays in the snow. Photograph: AFP/Getty Images

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Snowhannesburgh! On Monday, residents of Johannesburg, one of the biggest cities in Africa, woke up to their first snowfall in more than a decade. The rare conditions were caused by a surge in humidity, cold temperatures and wind.

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Yesterdayโ€™s poll: Which of the following geographic features do you think is most important for a country’s economic growth?

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๐ŸŸฉ๐ŸŸฉ๐ŸŸฉ๐ŸŸฉ๐ŸŸฉ๐ŸŸฉย ๐ŸŒŠ Access to the sea/ocean (66%)

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๐ŸŸจโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธ โ›ต Extensive inland waterways (13%)

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โฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธ โ›ฐ๏ธ A protective mountain range (1%)

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โฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธ ๐ŸŒพ Grassy flats (2%)

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๐ŸŸจโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธ ๐ŸŒก๏ธ Mild climates (13%)

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โฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธ โœ๏ธ Other (write in!) (5%)

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Your two cents:

  • ๐ŸŒพย E: โ€œFlat terrains. Anything that makes it easiest to transport goods, services, and people as quickly and easily as possible and go build roads easily.โ€

  • ๐ŸŒŠย D.T.W: โ€œShipping lanes remain the most significant factor in global economic power.โ€

  • ๐ŸŒก๏ธ J.H: โ€In the past, access to sea/ocean was the prime indicator of growth potential. It’s still important. However, as temperatures climb climate will become the primary issue.โ€

  • โœ๏ธ J.C: โ€œAccess to cislunar highways to protect satellitesโ€