π The EU's budget battle
Plus: Follow the North Star
Hi Intriguer. Iβve been in London this week, and thereβs truly no better city to be in for the lead-up to Christmas. Dark pubs are transformed into mustering points for people only too happy to have their arms twisted for a quick pint before they head home for the holidays.
I grew up in Australia, where the Christmas holidays are spent by the pool eating whatever the opposite of a hot roast dinner is.
Wherever you spend your break, or even if you donβt take one, the end of the year is a great chance to take stock of things. In that spirit, our 2023 year in review will be hitting your inbox this Sunday.
– John Fowler, Co-Founder
TODAYβS NEWS
Clock Ticking. Visiting Tel Aviv, US National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan has reportedly told Prime Minister Netanyahu that Israel's war in Gaza needs to "transition to the next lower intensity phase in a matter of weeks, not months." Netanyahu says he told Sullivan that Israeli troops will fight βuntil full victory.β
Mission to the mainland. The vice chair of Taiwanβs main opposition party, the Kuomintang (KMT), is now visiting China less than a month before the self-governing island holds elections. While the ruling Democratic Progressive Party has irked Beijing with its preference for greater independence, the opposition KMT says its trip to China is designed to promote βpeace, stability and prosperityβ.
Putin presser. Vladimir Putin has told a Russian TV audience that his goals in Ukraine havenβt changed: βthe de-Nazification and de-militarisation of Ukraine, and its neutral status." He also hinted at a possible deal to free Wall Street Journal reporter Evan Gershkovich and former US marine Paul Whelan, two US citizens imprisoned in Russia.
Terror arrests in Europe. Authorities have arrested four people across Germany and the Netherlands in connection with an alleged Hamas plot to attack Jewish institutions in Europe. Another three with suspected Hamas links were arrested on separate terrorism charges in Denmark.
Iron fist. Argentinaβs new security minister has announced plans to impose fines, ban road-blocks, and call in federal police to clear upcoming protests against President Mileiβs economic βshock therapyβ. One protest leader says itβs like a βplan for war against the peopleβ. He argued, βthere will probably be 50,000 people in the street, are they supposed to all walk on the sidewalk?β
TOP STORY
Hungarian leader Viktor OrbΓ‘n and Latvian Prime Minister Evika SiliΕa.
Credits: @UnaBergmane on X
EU drama: Ukraine, migration and moreΒ
All 27 EU leaders landed in Brussels yesterday for the mid-term review of the blocβs seven-year budget amid heightened tensions between some members.Β Β
While a budget meeting might not sound exciting (because itβs not), this one is spicier than normal because it involves 27 world leaders and fairly high stakes.
The main (but not only) sticking point this time around has been Ukraine.
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26 EU leaders wanted to open talks with Ukraine for it to join the EU, a mostly symbolic move given the talks can be endless (just ask Turkey).
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But a 27th leader (Hungaryβs Victor OrbΓ‘n) has long objected, citing Ukraineβs corruption and limits on minority languages (like Hungarian). Heβs also been irked by the EUβs own criticism of Hungarian democracy, and maintained relatively cosy ties with Russian President Vladimir Putin.
Big EU decisions on topics like bloc membership usually require unanimous agreement among all 27 leaders. So what happened?
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Ukraine passed bills addressing some of Hungaryβs concerns last week
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Hungary passed a bill on some of the EUβs concerns this week, and
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The EU then unblocked billions in frozen funds for Hungary.
Theyβre all denying any horse-trading here, but the net result is that OrbΓ‘n then felt comfortable enough to abstain: he ducked outside the meeting room just as the other 26 leaders moved to approve the talks with Ukraine yesterday.
So the EU got to signal some desperately-needed support for Ukraine, and OrbΓ‘n got billions in EU funding while still looking like he held the line.Β
But hours later (into this morning), OrbΓ‘n delivered another twist when he blocked a $55B aid package for Ukraine after objecting to a non-member getting that much EU funding. EU leaders are hopeful they can get him over the line early in the new year, or theyβll help Ukraine outside formal EU processes.
And this was just part of the meetingβs agenda. Other big items included:
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Migration:Β Irregular arrivals via the Mediterranean are up 60% this year, and
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The economy:Β The bloc is still teetering on the edge of recession.
Adding even more drama is the upcoming EU parliamentary election in June, with recent national results hinting at real eurosceptic vibes among voters.
INTRIGUEβS TAKE
Diplomats often get formal training in negotiation, and some of our core negotiation principles were first popularised in Herb Cohenβs legendary 1982 best-seller, βYou Can Negotiate Anythingβ. Itβs worth a read.
One key takeaway is that, no matter how intractable the situation, thereβs almost always a possible βwin-winβ (incidentally, a term also popularised in Cohenβs book).
And this weekβs EU membership decision on Ukraine really looks like a classic example: everyone takes a win, and the mechanics of the decision are arranged so that OrbΓ‘n never technically has to cross his own red line.
But if it was this hard to get agreement on whatβs essentially a symbolic step for the EU, a $55B aid package in the new year feels like more of a stretch.
Also worth noting:Β
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Fun fact: a draft budget proposal is sometimes referred to as a βnegoboxβ in EU bureaucratic slang.Β Β
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In response to the EUβs decision on membership talks, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky tweeted that βright now in Ukraine, a lot of us are feeling really uplifted, and itβs a big dealβ.
FINANCIAL TIPS FROM FINANCE BUZZ

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6 things to help financiallyβ¦ These small (but smart) moves can help you supplement your income and earn legit cash β without doing much extra βworkβ!Β
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Experts urge Americans to transfer their balances by 2024β¦ Some credit cards can actually help you get out of debt. By getting a new 0% intro APR credit card, no interest means you could pay off your debt faster. See the full list of cards here.Β
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Amazon hates when you do these 8 things (but they can't stop you)β¦Β Here are 8 secret hacks that you need to know if you're an Amazon shopper. They can help you save money, cancel unwanted subscriptions, and earn legit cash.
MEANWHILE, ELSEWHEREβ¦

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π―π΅Β Japan: The UK, Italy, and Japan formally agreed in Tokyo yesterday (Thursday) to jointly develop a new advanced fighter jet. The organisation tasked with developing the jet will be based in the UK, and leadership will rotate between the countries every few years.Β
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π¦π±Β Albania: The Constitutional Court of Albania has suspended a plan for Italy to send asylum seekers to Albania for processing. Opponents petitioned the court to block the plan, saying it would deny migrants basic constitutional rights.
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π²π²Β Myanmar: China says itβs mediated a ceasefire between Myanmarβs ruling junta and opposition forces. Around 300,000 people have been displaced since the rebels began their latest offensive in October, mostly along the border with China.
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π¨π΄Β Colombia: A congressional committee in BogotΓ‘ has ordered an investigation into alleged campaign finance violations by President Gustavo Petro. The presidentβs son was charged in August with facilitating illegal contributions to his fatherβs campaign.
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πΈπ³Β Senegal: A judge ruled yesterday that opposition leader Ousmane Sonko, jailed since June, will be allowed to contest next yearβs presidential election. Sonko is popular with young voters in Senegal and is seen as the most likely successor to outgoing President Macky Sall.Β Β
EXTRA INTRIGUE
Some recommendations from Team Intrigue if youβre lucky to find yourself in π«π·Β Paris this weekend
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Christmas shopping: Head to βLa DΓ©fense MarchΓ© de NoΓ«lβ (π«π·), the cityβs largest Christmas market, for a steaming cup of mulled wine.
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Eat: Pop by βLa Maison Roseβ in Montmartre for a classic Parisian cafΓ© frequented by tortured artists and folks who just really like pink houses.
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Culture: Visit the βHΓ΄tel de la Marineβ, an 18th-century palace and former naval office, which opened to the public for the first time in 2021.
MAP OF THE DAY

Canadaβs provinces and territories feature some pretty sweet flags across the board, but Nunavut (the northernmost territory) really levels up. Its theme is navigation: the red inuksuk (a traditional stone landmark) helps guide travellers, while the blue north star is a navigational beacon and symbol of elder wisdom.
Our rating: 9.6/10
FRIDAY QUIZ
The US stock market rallied yesterday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average crossing the 37,000 mark for the first time. So, letβs do some Wall Street trivia.Β
The New York Stock Exchange is the largest in the world. What year did it open? |
If you'd bought $1000 worth of Apple shares when it listed in 1980, how much would those shares be worth today?(not including dividends)
|
19 October 1987 (aka Black Monday) was the worst day in Wall Street history. How much did the Dow drop that day? |
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