INTRIGUE’S LATEST

The global affairs briefing you’ll actually look forward to reading.

Latest Articles
Can the US actually destroy Iran’s Fordow base?

Now that the US president has indicated he’ll allow another two weeks for negotiations with Iran to continue, we can also reflect a little more on some of the underlying assumptions at play: eg, can the US actually punch through Iran’s Fordow mountain? So with thanks to an anonymous Intriguer, we connected with one of […]

Defence & Security 20 June, 2025
The UK’s new top spy emerges from the shadows

Every now and then, the public gets a glimpse beyond the veil. Take this week, with news the UK’s new foreign intelligence agency (MI6) spymaster will be Blaise Metreweli. In his big reveal, PM Starmer endorsed her “excellent leadership” and noted she’s being promoted to ‘C’ (chief, though the ‘C’ derives from the surname of the original […]

Europe 17 June, 2025
The Israel-Iran War: 6 lessons so far

Things have only escalated since Friday’s war briefing, with… So as these two old foes continue to trade blows and casualties, we’ve reflected on the six different lessons the world might now be learning: The ayatollah has spent decades dropping brash military diss tracks, only to get pantsed by Israel in a single night via […]

Israel strikes Iran

Thought you could have a nice, relaxed, geopolitics-free weekend? Perhaps pop down to Home Depot if you get time? Wrong.  Following a day of mysterious security alerts for US and Israeli diplomats in the Middle East (suggesting they had intel something was up), Israel has now struck targets in Iran. The dust is still settling, […]


Geopolitics
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Why the world is having fewer babies

Why are a bunch of ex-diplomats talking about babies and birth rates? Sure, it’s like a mango sorbet palate-cleanser amid all the war and rumours of war. But natality is also one of those slow-moving forces that can completely transform our world. How? Last century, the dominant narrative was that populations were too big, with leaders in China, Vietnam […]

11 June, 2025
Xi and Trump talk for the first time

Sometimes, the shortest press releases generate the most headlines.   Take Thursday’s press release from China’s state broadcaster: “Chinese President Xi Jinping on Thursday held phone talks with U.S. President Donald Trump at the latter’s request.”  As you’d expect, given the feverish geopolitical climate of today, those 18 words were enough to trigger a visceral reaction in any US-China […]

6 June, 2025
The five spiciest quotes from this year’s Shangri-La Dialogue

It’s finally June, and you know what that means! Summer’s The Shangri-La Dialogue is finally back, bringing together generals, leaders, security folks, and academics from 47 countries.  Here are five of the most intriguing quotes from this year’s summit:   In keeping with the tone of Trump 2.0, Hegseth’s keynote speech was anything but low-key.  In this instance, […]

2 June, 2025
Help! The world is impacting our bottom line

When Wall Street woke up to check its Bloomberg terminals yesterday, they’ll have seen a headline that JP Morgan Chase now has its own ‘Center for Geopolitics’. That’s America’s biggest bank launching something that sounds like a tweed-clad think-tank, led by Derek Chollet — a former Pentagon, State, and White House official. And for anyone who’s been […]

22 May, 2025
ECONOMICS
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The world digests Trump’s tariff reveal

In a packed Rose Garden, Donald Trump has unveiled his long-awaited reciprocal tariffs, which the 47th president is dubbing “kind reciprocal”, because they work out at roughly half what he says the world is charging the US. Here’s a quick snapshot of the new tariffs, including: That “virtually” is doing some heavy lifting, as a few names are missing from Trump’s list: One […]

3 April, 2025
Shots fired! The ‘Great Trade War’ is back

And so The Great Trade War™ is on. You’ve probably already heard endless hot takes from folks dressed in shirts with collars more rigid than your uncle Rob on the dance floor, so let’s keep this one short (and our collars in an effortless kind of linen ruffle). Here’s what you need to know. Trump’s […]

5 March, 2025
Is China’s communist party getting business-friendly?

After China’s Deepseek AI bot rocked the world’s markets and capitals last month, China’s private sector is now throwing the kind of party you just can’t ignore. How big? A $1.3 trillion rally. Big enough to attract the VVVVVVVIP himself, China’s leader, Xi Jinping. Xi hosted China’s top business leaders at a forum in Beijing yesterday (Monday), and the […]

18 February, 2025
Trump’s latest tariffs, from four cities

Brave that deja vu, because Donald Trump has now signed another executive order imposing 25% levies on all aluminium and steel imports, effective 12 March.  So to make tariffs seem not-boring, let’s take a quick musical tour of four capitals…  Notwithstanding the buzz or shock, these US tariffs aren’t new. The president imposed broadly similar levies back during Trump 1.0, before […]

12 February, 2025
Technology
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Here’s what’s next for TikTok

As markets stubbed their toe on Trump’s high-stakes tariff reveal this week, it was almost possible to forget about that pesky April 5 (tomorrow) deadline for TikTok’s China-based parent company to sell up or face a painful US ban. And while Trump extended that deadline on his first day back in office, it now looks […]

6 April, 2025
The Low Earth Orbit (LEO) satellite frenzy is here

We’re not a finance newsletter (we don’t own enough Patagucci vests to qualify), but we do enjoy scrolling through stock tickers.  That’s how we noticed some recent movements around Eutelsat, a Franco-British Low Earth orbit (LEO) satellite operator that’s in talks with the EU to ramp up its presence in Ukraine.  Over the past four days, the […]

7 March, 2025
Paris AI Summit hangs in the balance

Shrugging off some winter showers, France’s Emmanuel Macron (co-hosting with India’s Narendra Modi) has rolled out the red carpet for heads of state, executives (hi Jamie Dimon), and AI power players at the latest AI Action Summit, which wraps today (Tuesday). And a quick glance at the headlines might suggest that oh, Macron is announcing $110B in […]

11 February, 2025
Congo conflict flares amid critical minerals race

As we foreshadowed yesterday, Rwanda-backed M23 rebels have now seized the eastern Congolese trade hub of Goma in a lightning advance. It’s a conflict with ties to Big Tech, world history, and Western unease, so let’s take a look: A quick glance at a map might make you wonder how Rwanda could possibly be a […]

29 January, 2025