Turkey and the US have a close shave in Syria


An American fighter jet shot down a Turkish military drone last week after it flew within 500m of US forces in northeast Syria.

This is exceedingly rare. Turkey and the US have been NATO allies since 1952; they fought together in Korea and Afghanistan, and coordinated closely during the Cold War.

But in Syria, they’re on opposing sides:

  • The US works with the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), a Kurdish-led militia fighting groups like ISIS plus the Syrian regime forces, while
  • Turkey sees the SDF as an extension of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party, which Ankara (plus the US and others) have listed as terrorists.

Intrigue’s take: As with any organisation of NATO’s size (31 members), it’s unlikely that every member will row in the same direction, all the time.

Still, if the US and Turkey have arrived at a point where they’re shooting each other’s hardware out of the sky, it might be time for a heart-to-heart.

Also worth noting:

  • The US defence secretary and top military leadership called their Turkish counterparts immediately after the incident.
  • In June, Turkey carried out a drone strike targeting the SDF’s leader. There were three US military personnel in the convoy that was carrying him. Nobody was hurt.
Latest Author Articles
The top 3 quotes from Jackson Hole

The Super Bowl for economists (aka the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium) just wrapped on Saturday, so let’s get you the top three quotes, starting with… There’s always been tension in the Fed’s dual mandate of chasing maximum employment versus stable prices. But the chair suggested this tension now looks different. Why? He argued President […]

25 August, 2025
The Alaska summit: winners, losers and those in between

So Alaska ended much as we foreshadowed: no deal. But ‘no deal’ doesn’t mean ’empty-handed’. Here’s a quick tally of the ‘wins’ each side is now claiming (agree or not). Putin’s arguable wins fall into three categories: perception, isolation, and negotiation: On the perception front, Kremlin propagandists argue that in a single afternoon, Putin shrugged […]

18 August, 2025
The Trump-Putin summit: the view from Europe

When news broke that Presidents Trump and Putin were ironing out the details on an Alaska summit (likely at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson), Europe’s initial response was wtf.  But there’s no feeling of strategic exclusion that jumping on a quick Zoom call can’t fix, so that’s what President Trump did with his counterparts from Ukraine and […]

14 August, 2025
The Alaska Summit: who wins?

Let’s get you a quick primer ahead of this Friday’s surprise Trump-Putin summit in Alaska. Why now? Trump made the announcement on Friday, the same day his peace-or-sanctions deadline on Putin was set to expire. It was a response to a proposal Putin relayed to Trump’s envoy (Witkoff) in Moscow on Wednesday. ✌️Proposal✌️ might be […]

11 August, 2025