Fiji’s new prime minister is pivoting away from China


Briefly: Fijian Prime Minister Sitiveni Rabuka has suspended the country’s police chief and signalled that he would end a controversial security agreement with China that his predecessor signed in 2011. In comments to the Fiji Times, Rabuka said that Fiji’s “system of democracy and justice systems are different so we will go back to those that have similar systems with us.”

Rabuka is (sorta) new to the job – after staging two(!) military coups in 1987, he served as prime minister from 1992-1999. Rabuka led a coalition of opposition parties that narrowly defeated incumbent Frank Bainimarama last December. Fiji maintained close ties with Beijing throughout Bainimarama’s 16-year tenure, most notably through a 2011 deal that increased cooperation between Fijian and Chinese police forces. 

Intrigue’s take: Rabuka’s rebuke is another obstacle for China’s campaign to make friends in the Pacific – last year, it failed to win support for an ambitious regional trade and security deal. Is Fiji’s new approach a temporary setback for China in the Pacific or a sign of a broader trend?

Also worth noting: 

  • Fiji’s military chief warned that he was monitoring Rabuka’s “sweeping changes” with “growing concern.” Fiji has experienced four military coups in 35 years. 
  • The US is working to reopen its embassy in Solomon Islands, which has been closed since 1993. 
Latest Author Articles
Our 2026 geopolitics predictions

The ‘For-sures’ 1. Europe can’t shake the US While it’s easy to rag on Europe’s passive statements, consider the task European leaders have ahead: EU citizens shop with Visa or Mastercard, scroll on US-made devices from Google to Apple, watch viral shows on Netflix and HBO, and still even rely heavily on US military equipment. […]

19 January, 2026
Will recognition bring peace?

Canada has now joined France in announcing it’ll formally recognise a State of Palestine at the UN in September. And that’s just days after the UK flagged it’d do likewise unless Israel lets more aid in, signs a Hamas ceasefire, and halts expansions in the West Bank. So what’s going on? The legal definition of […]

31 July, 2025
Trump threatens 50% tariffs on Brazil. It won’t end well.

This article is a cross publication from The Brazilian Report.  After months of fear and anticipation, US President Donald Trump announced additional 50% tariffs on all Brazilian exports to the United States, to be enforced on Aug. 1. The letter to President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of Brazil stood out among the batch Trump […]

15 July, 2025
Can the US actually destroy Iran’s Fordow base?

Now that the US president has indicated he’ll allow another two weeks for negotiations with Iran to continue, we can also reflect a little more on some of the underlying assumptions at play: eg, can the US actually punch through Iran’s Fordow mountain? So with thanks to an anonymous Intriguer, we connected with one of […]

20 June, 2025