๐ŸŒ A police shooting triggers riots and soul-searching across France


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Hi there Intriguer.ย Itโ€™s another yuuuuge week: the president of Indonesia is about to touch down in Australia to talk EVs; the US treasury secretary has just announced sheโ€™s making a long-awaited trip to China; and Pakistanโ€™s foreign minister is in Tokyo trying to revive ties with Japan. And this is all before we smashed that Monday morning snooze button.

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Todayโ€™s briefing is a 5 min read:

  • ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท What Franceโ€™s unrest means for the world.

  • ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐย Pakistan reaches an IMF deal hours before a deadline.

  • โž• Plus: A nuclear-grade graph, how the papers are covering Chinaโ€™s latest economic data, and why Brazilโ€™s president doesnโ€™t like palace meals in France or Italy.

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๐Ÿ“ขย PSA: Team Intrigue will be off tomorrow (Tuesday), but weโ€™ll be back in your inbox on Wednesday!

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โฑ๏ธ Around the world in sixty seconds

  1. ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ฒย Turkmenistan: The brand new city of Arkadag, named for the impoverished nationโ€™s former leader, opened 30 km south of the capital last week. Authorities say the โ€œsmartโ€ city features electric buses, solar power, and smartphone-connected homes.

  2. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡นย Austria: The worldโ€™s oldest daily newspaper, the Vienna-based Wiener Zeitung, printed its last edition on Friday (30 June) after nearly 320 years. When it first launched in 1703, Austria had recently acquired most of modern Hungary following a war with the Ottomans.

  3. ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ญย Cambodia: Prime Minister Hun Sen has left Facebook and threatened to ban the platform in Cambodia after the social media giantโ€™s oversight board recommended his account be suspended. Facebook says one of Hun Senโ€™s video messages from January had called for violence against his political opponents.

  4. ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ทย Brazil: An electoral court voted 5-2 on Friday to bar ex-president Bolsonaro from office until 2030. Analysts expect heโ€™ll appeal the decision, which found he abused his power to promote his campaign ahead of last yearโ€™s elections.

  5. ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฆย South Africa: Aides to the Zulu king have issued conflicting statements on whether heโ€™s in hospital for suspected poisoning. The king, a ceremonial but influential figure in South Africa, was crowned last year amid reports of a power struggle within the royal family.

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท France | Unrest

A police shooting triggers riots and soul-searching across France

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France has been rocked by its worst unrest in decades after police shot dead an unarmed 17-year-old driver at a traffic stop on Tuesday (27 June).

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Bystander footage disproved initial police claims that the driver had rammed them. And local grief in Nanterre, a low-income Parisian suburb home to many migrants, soon escalated to widespread unrest, including:

  • The torching of trains, police stations, town halls, and schools

  • The looting of anything from luxury goods to toilet paper, and

  • Even slamming a burning vehicle into a mayorโ€™s family home.

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How did the French authorities respond?

  • President Macron said the teenagerโ€™s death was โ€œinexplicableโ€

  • He deployed 45,000 extra police whoโ€™ve arrested 2,300 rioters, and

  • The officer behind the shooting is facing charges of manslaughter.

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Most foreign governments have stayed silent, but:

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Algeria has voiced “shock and resentment” at the teenโ€™s killing, in a statement suggesting the young driver was an Algerian national

  • ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Russiaโ€™s foreign ministry has sought to capitalise on the events in France, saying โ€œbefore you try to treat us, heal yourselfโ€, and

  • ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Poland and ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ Hungary linked the French riots to their own vetoing of a joint EU statement covering migration.

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Meanwhile, the deceased teenโ€™s grandmother yesterday (Sunday) pleaded with the rioters to stop the violence, which now seems to be subsiding.

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Intrigue’s take: Weโ€™re all about geopolitics here. And this kind of internal unrest has real geopolitical implications, because:

  • It limits Franceโ€™s bandwidth to shape the world around it (Macron had to leave an EU summit early, and delayed a visit to Germany)

  • It emboldens domestic voices with opposing views on Franceโ€™s role in the world, and

  • It enables adversaries (like Russia above) to distract from or bolster their own narratives of purported cohesion and stability at home.

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So it makes sense Macron wants an inquiry into the longer-term causes of this unrest. And it makes sense the world will await its findings with interest.

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Also worth noting:

  • Riots erupted in broadly similar circumstances in 2005, lasting three weeks until President Chirac declared a state of emergency.

  • In 2018, the French ambassador to the US had an exchange with talk show host Trevor Noah on race relations in France.

๐Ÿ“ฐ How newspapers coveredโ€ฆ

The latest data from Chinaโ€™s manufacturing and service sectors

Tokyo, Japan

China manufacturing PMI falls for third straight month in June

London, UK

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China’s factory, service sectors stumble as economic malaise broadens

Beijing, China

Economic Watch: China’s manufacturing PMI ends 3-month decline in June

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Todayโ€™s newsletter is supported by: Babbel

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๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ Pakistan | Geo-economics

Pakistan lands last-minute IMF bailout

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After months of negotiations, Pakistan and the IMF reached a $3B bailout agreement to stabilise Pakistanโ€™s teetering economy late last week, just hours before their previous arrangement was due to expire.

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The IMF and Pakistan go way back: theyโ€™ve reached 22 arrangements since the 1950s. This latest deal:

  • ๐Ÿ’ฐย staves off a sovereign debt default, and

  • โ›“๏ธ requires the country to put its finances on a more sustainable footing, through higher taxes and lower spending.

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So the news will be met with mixed emotions by Pakistanโ€™s 233 million people, who are already paying Asiaโ€™s highest interest rates.

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Intrigueโ€™s take: Emerging market debt recently crossed the $100T threshold for the first time ever. And around a quarter of the worldโ€™s emerging markets are either in – or at high risk of – debt distress.

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So Pakistani officials wonโ€™t be the only ones breathing a sigh of relief right now; others will be heartened that a similar IMF deal might be on the table if needed.

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Also worth noting:

  • Pakistan is due to hold elections no later than 10 November 2023.

  • Pakistan has enough foreign reserves to cover imports for a month.

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โž• Extra Intrigue

Your weekly roundup of the worldโ€™s more surprising news:

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๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ Poll time!

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What’s going on in France?

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๐Ÿ“Š Chart of the day

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The world has come a long way from the nuclear arms race of the previous century, but arsenal reductions have tapered off in the last couple of decades. The top two nuclear nations, Russia and the US, still have more than 8,000 nuclear warheads combined.

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Check out our friends at Chartr for more data-driven insights!

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Thursdayโ€™s poll: Which city has the best architecture?

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