๐ŸŒ China-US tensions loom over Shangri-La Dialogue


:root {–wt-primary-color: #2D2DC8;–wt-text-on-primary-color: #FFFFFF;–wt-secondary-color: #F9FAFB;–wt-text-on-secondary-color: #030712;–wt-tertiary-color: #FFFFFF;–wt-text-on-tertiary-color: #222222;–wt-background-color: #FFFFFF;–wt-text-on-background-color: #222222;–wt-subscribe-background-color: #FFFFFF;–wt-text-on-subscribe-background-color: #222222;–wt-header-font: “Roboto”, ui-sans-serif, system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, “Segoe UI”, Roboto,”Helvetica Neue”, Arial, “Noto Sans”, sans-serif, “Apple Color Emoji”, “Segoe UI Emoji”, “Segoe UI Symbol”, “Noto Color Emoji”;–wt-body-font: “Roboto”, ui-sans-serif, system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, “Segoe UI”, Roboto, “Helvetica Neue”, Arial, “Noto Sans”, sans-serif, “Apple Color Emoji”, “Segoe UI Emoji”, “Segoe UI Symbol”, “Noto Color Emoji”;–wt-button-font: “Roboto”, ui-sans-serif, system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, “Segoe UI”, Roboto, “Helvetica Neue”, Arial, “Noto Sans”, sans-serif, “Apple Color Emoji”, “Segoe UI Emoji”, “Segoe UI Symbol”, “Noto Color Emoji”;–wt-border-radius: 8px}.bg-wt-primary { background-color: var(–wt-primary-color); }.text-wt-primary { color: var(–wt-primary-color); }.border-wt-primary { border-color: var(–wt-primary-color); }.bg-wt-text-on-primary { background-color: var(–wt-text-on-primary-color); }.text-wt-text-on-primary { color: var(–wt-text-on-primary-color); }.border-wt-text-on-primary { border-color: var(–wt-text-on-primary-color); }.bg-wt-secondary { background-color: var(–wt-secondary-color); }.text-wt-secondary { color: var(–wt-secondary-color); }.border-wt-secondary { border-color: var(–wt-secondary-color); }.bg-wt-text-on-secondary { background-color: var(–wt-text-on-secondary-color); }.text-wt-text-on-secondary { color: var(–wt-text-on-secondary-color); }.border-wt-text-on-secondary { border-color: var(–wt-text-on-secondary-color); }.bg-wt-tertiary { background-color: var(–wt-tertiary-color); }.text-wt-tertiary { color: var(–wt-tertiary-color); }.border-wt-tertiary { border-color: var(–wt-tertiary-color); }.bg-wt-text-on-tertiary { background-color: var(–wt-text-on-tertiary-color); }.text-wt-text-on-tertiary { color: var(–wt-text-on-tertiary-color); }.border-wt-text-on-tertiary { border-color: var(–wt-text-on-tertiary-color); }.bg-wt-background { background-color: var(–wt-background-color); }.text-wt-background { color: var(–wt-background-color); }.border-wt-background { border-color: var(–wt-background-color); }.bg-wt-text-on-background { background-color: var(–wt-text-on-background-color); }.text-wt-text-on-background { color: var(–wt-text-on-background-color); }.border-wt-text-on-background { border-color: var(–wt-text-on-background-color); }.bg-wt-subscribe-background { background-color: var(–wt-subscribe-background-color); }.text-wt-subscribe-background { color: var(–wt-subscribe-background-color); }.border-wt-subscribe-background { border-color: var(–wt-subscribe-background-color); }.bg-wt-text-on-subscribe-background { background-color: var(–wt-text-on-subscribe-background-color); }.text-wt-text-on-subscribe-background { color: var(–wt-text-on-subscribe-background-color); }.border-wt-text-on-subscribe-background { border-color: var(–wt-text-on-subscribe-background-color); }.rounded-wt { border-radius: var(–wt-border-radius); }.wt-header-font { font-family: var(–wt-header-font); }.wt-body-font { font-family: var(–wt-body-font); }.wt-button-font { font-family: var(–wt-button-font); }input:focus { –tw-ring-color: transparent !important; }li a { word-break: break-word; }@media only screen and (max-width:667px) {.mob-stack {display: block !important;width: 100% !important;}.mob-w-full {width: 100% !important;}}@font-face {font-family: ‘Roboto’;font-style: normal;font-weight: 700;font-display: swap;src: url(‘https://fonts.gstatic.com/s/roboto/v29/KFOlCnqEu92Fr1MmWUlfBBc4AMP6lQ.woff2’) format(‘woff2’);}@font-face {font-family: ‘Roboto’;font-style: italic;font-weight: 700;font-display: swap;src: url(‘https://fonts.gstatic.com/s/roboto/v29/KFOjCnqEu92Fr1Mu51TzBic6CsTYl4BO.woff2’) format(‘woff2’);}@font-face {font-family: ‘Roboto’;font-style: normal;font-weight: 400;font-display: swap;src: url(‘https://fonts.gstatic.com/s/roboto/v29/KFOmCnqEu92Fr1Mu4mxKKTU1Kg.woff2’) format(‘woff2’);}@font-face {font-family: ‘Roboto’;font-style: italic;font-weight: 400;font-display: swap;src: url(‘https://fonts.gstatic.com/s/roboto/v29/KFOkCnqEu92Fr1Mu51xIIzIXKMny.woff2’) format(‘woff2’);}@font-face {font-family: ‘Poppins’;font-style: normal;font-weight: 700;font-display: swap;src: url(‘https://fonts.gstatic.com/s/poppins/v22/pxiByp8kv8JHgFVrLCz7Z1xlFd2JQEk.woff2’) format(‘woff2’);}@font-face {font-family: ‘Poppins’;font-style: italic;font-weight: 700;font-display: swap;src: url(‘https://fonts.gstatic.com/s/poppins/v22/pxiDyp8kv8JHgFVrJJLmy15VF9eOYktMqg.woff2’) format(‘woff2′);}.table-base, .table-c, .table-h { border: 1px solid #C0C0C0; }.table-c { padding:5px; background-color:#FFFFFF; }.table-c p { color: #2D2D2D; font-family:’Helvetica’,Arial,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }.table-h { padding:5px; background-color:#F1F1F1; }.table-h p { color: #2A2A2A; font-family:’Trebuchet MS’,’Lucida Grande’,Tahoma,sans-serif !important; overflow-wrap: break-word; }

.bh__byline_wrapper {font-size: .875rem;line-height: 1.25rem;vertical-align: middle;justify-content: space-between;display: block;}.bh__byline_social_wrapper {display: flex;margin-top: 0.5rem;align-items: center;}.bh__byline_social_wrapper > * + * {margin-left: 1rem;}@media (min-width: 768px) {.bh__byline_wrapper {display: flex;}.bh__byline_social_wrapper {margin-top: 0rem;}}

p span[style*=”font-size”] { line-height: 1.6; }

Hi there Intriguer.ย Do you need a pick-me-up this fine Monday? Hereโ€™s a picture of Albert Einstein wearing a pair of fluffy slippers.

p span[style*=”font-size”] { line-height: 1.6; }

Todayโ€™s briefing is a 4.6 min read:

  • ๐ŸŒ US-China tensions loom over Asia-Pacific security summit.

  • โ›๏ธ Congo overtakes Peru as the worldโ€™s 2nd largest copper exporter.

  • โž• Plus: A flag with a Kalashnikov, how the papers are covering Saudi Arabia possibly joining BRICS, and how a Canadian won a famous race despite being knocked out cold.

p span[style*=”font-size”] { line-height: 1.6; }

๐ŸŽง Todayโ€™s Intrigue: Australiaโ€™s PM has a message for the world.

๐Ÿ—บ๏ธ AROUND THE WORLD
  1. ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฌย Kyrgyzstan: Prosecutors are moving to strip a top Kyrgyz opposition lawmaker of the criminal immunity afforded to members of parliament. He stands accused of fomenting riots and plotting a coup, charges he denies.

  2. ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ดย Norway: The US will open its first diplomatic mission north of the Arctic Circle, in the Norwegian city of Tromsoe. NATO will also conduct Arctic military exercises in nearby Finland this week.

  3. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉย Indonesia: Malaysia will join Indonesia in suspending trade talks with the EU over European deforestation regulations that would harm the countriesโ€™ lucrative palm oil industry. Indonesia and Malaysia account for 83% of the worldโ€™s palm oil production.

  4. ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡นย Trinidad & Tobago: Trinidad has asked the US to amend the terms of an oil exploration licence involving Trinidad and neighbouring Venezuela. As written, the licence would prohibit cash payments to Venezuelaโ€™s state-owned oil company, which remains under US sanctions.

  5. ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ณย Senegal: At least nine people have been killed after police clashed with supporters of opposition leader Ousmane Sonko, who was sentenced to two years in prison for โ€˜corrupting youthโ€™. Senegalese authorities banned social media on Friday (2 June) in response.

๐ŸŒ ASIA-PACIFIC | DEFENCE & SECURITY

US Secretary of Defence Lloyd Austin (L) and Chinaโ€™s Defence Minister Li Shangfu (R)
were among the 600 delegates attending this weekendโ€™s Shangri-La Dialogue

China-US rivalry looms large at top Asia summit

p span[style*=”font-size”] { line-height: 1.6; }

Briefly: The annual three day Shangri-La Dialogue wrapped up yesterday (Sunday), after bringing together 600 defence and security delegates from 49 countries at the sprawling Shangri-La Hotel in Singapore.

p span[style*=”font-size”] { line-height: 1.6; }

Each year the summit generates seemingly endless headlines, particularly around US-China competition. And this year was no exception. Highlights included:

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บย Australia’s PM urged China to re-open dialogue with the US

  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธย The US defence secretary rebuked China for not resuming military talks with the US

  • ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณย Chinaโ€™s defence minister called on the US to decease military deployments near China

  • ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ A Philippines coast guard rep said there was a disconnect between Chinaโ€™s pro-dialogue words and its actions in the South China Sea

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ชย Germanyโ€™s defence minister announced Germany will send two warships to the Indo-Pacific in 2024 to help maintain regional security

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉย Indonesiaโ€™s defence minister revealed a Russo-Ukraine peace plan focused on demilitarised zones in Ukraine (a proposal quickly dismissed by Ukraineโ€™s defence minister, who said it sounded like a โ€œRussian plan”)

p span[style*=”font-size”] { line-height: 1.6; }

Intrigueโ€™s take: There was plenty of disagreement on display in Singapore over the weekend, yet almost everyone seemed to agree on one thing: US-China conflict would be a disaster not just for the two countries, but the entire world.

p span[style*=”font-size”] { line-height: 1.6; }

And soโ€ฆ given everyone agrees, there should be a path for China and the West to de-escalate. The problem is itโ€™s hard to see one right now:

  • Chinaโ€™s military build-up and increasing assertiveness have spooked capitals all over, and yet

  • When other countries respond with their own military build-up to deter China, Beijing interprets that as aggression, and again expands its military in response

p span[style*=”font-size”] { line-height: 1.6; }

This, dear Intriguer, is a classic security dilemma. And itโ€™s hard to break out of one without dialogue. Hence the many calls for dialogue over the weekend.

p span[style*=”font-size”] { line-height: 1.6; }

Also worth noting:

  • China is set to increase defence spending this year by 7.2% to $220B. US defence spending is up 4.2% this year, hitting $773B.

  • Some two dozen spy chiefs also met on the sidelines of the summit, including intelligence heads from China, the US, India, Europe, and beyond. The tone was reportedly more direct but more collaborative.

๐Ÿ“ฐ GLOBAL PERSPECTIVES

p span[style*=”font-size”] { line-height: 1.6; }

How different newspapers covered: Saudi Arabia possibly becoming a new member of the BRICS grouping (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa).

p span[style*=”font-size”] { line-height: 1.6; }

p span[style*=”font-size”] { line-height: 1.6; }

Todayโ€™s briefing is sponsored byย girlboss

Girlboss, yes that girlboss.

p span[style*=”font-size”] { line-height: 1.6; }

Girlboss is a purpose-driven media company that exists to amplify women’s voices and issues. Their aim?

  • To help women navigate the future of work and life while sparking the thrill of possibility.

p span[style*=”font-size”] { line-height: 1.6; }

Sign up for their Girlboss Daily newsletterโ€”an email you’ll actually look forward toโ€”or read our International Intrigue curated selection of Girlboss content.

โ›๏ธ CONGO | CRITICAL MINERALS

Credits: Bloomberg.

DRC surpasses Peru as worldโ€™s #2 copper exporter

p span[style*=”font-size”] { line-height: 1.6; }

Briefly: The Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) replaced Peru as the worldโ€™s second-biggest exporter of copper last year, in terms of shipment volumes. Itโ€™s a notable shift in the copper industry, which has long been dominated by South American countries.

p span[style*=”font-size”] { line-height: 1.6; }

Whatโ€™s behind this switch in copper rankings?

  • ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ชย Peruโ€™s copper production has flatlined since 2016, in part due to political instability there, and

  • ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฉย DRC has tapped into its higher-grade ore potential (meaning more metal can be extracted from the same amount of rock), enabling copper exports to double to 2.4 million tons between 2018 and 2022.

p span[style*=”font-size”] { line-height: 1.6; }

Intrigueโ€™s take: Countries generally define a โ€˜critical mineralโ€™ as something that ticks three key boxes:

  • ๐Ÿ—๏ธ Its supply chain is vulnerable to disruption

  • ๐Ÿ”’ Itโ€™s essential to economic and national security, and

  • ๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿ’ป It plays a key role in energy, defence and other tech

p span[style*=”font-size”] { line-height: 1.6; }

Copper ticks each of these three boxes. Itโ€™s particularly key to the energy transition. And that makes it the subject of intense geopolitical interest.

p span[style*=”font-size”] { line-height: 1.6; }

Also worth noting:ย 

  • While Peru is now ranked 3rd and DRC ranked 2nd, Chile remains the worldโ€™s top copper exporter.

  • Peruโ€™s China-owned Las Bambas mine, one of the biggest copper mines in the world, halted production numerous times last year due to environmental and community protests.

๐Ÿ‘€ EXTRA INTRIGUE

p span[style*=”font-size”] { line-height: 1.6; }

Your weekly roundup of quirky global news:

๐Ÿ FLAG OF THE DAY

p span[style*=”font-size”] { line-height: 1.6; }

Some flags are subtle in their references to armed struggle and sacrifice; Mozambique chose another route. The banner features an assault rifle with a bayonet (defence), a hoe (agriculture) and an open book (education). Mozambiqueโ€™s flag is the only UN-recognised flag with a modern firearm.

๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ POLL TIME!

What’s the world’s best airport?

Login or Subscribe to participate in polls.

p span[style*=”font-size”] { line-height: 1.6; }

Thursdayโ€™s poll: Do you think Elon Musk’s meeting with China’s foreign minister was a good idea?

p span[style*=”font-size”] { line-height: 1.6; }

๐ŸŸจ๐ŸŸจ๐ŸŸจ๐ŸŸจ๐ŸŸจโฌœ๏ธ ๐Ÿ‘ Yes, business interests can be a force for good in China-US relations (45%)

p span[style*=”font-size”] { line-height: 1.6; }

๐ŸŸฉ๐ŸŸฉ๐ŸŸฉ๐ŸŸฉ๐ŸŸฉ๐ŸŸฉ ๐Ÿ‘Ž No, Beijing was using him to wedge the US (51%)

p span[style*=”font-size”] { line-height: 1.6; }

โฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธ ๐Ÿ–‹๏ธ Other (write in!) (4%)

p span[style*=”font-size”] { line-height: 1.6; }

Your two cents:

  • ๐Ÿ‘ G.W.K.S: โ€œGlobalisation is generally a good thing for raising human prosperity across the globe. Healing these relationships seems more fruitful than consistent animosityโ€

  • ๐Ÿ–‹๏ธ D.L: โ€œI’m not sure the meeting had as much to do with national interests as it did with Musk’s interests. China may have had a bigger picture in mind, but I suspect Musk didn’t.โ€