๐ŸŒ Ecuador’s president dissolves parliament


Plus: France issues arrest warrant for Lebanese central banker

Hi there Intriguer.ย Some world leaders seem to stumble at the first hurdle: getting dressed. A former dictator in Chile used to get around in capes. Over in Iran, the boss used to dress as if he was about to crush a Tom Collins down at the country club. And in Cuba, Fidel ditched sartorial style altogether and instead dialled the comfort (and intimidation) all the way up to 11 by going full Adidas.

Todayโ€™s briefing is a 4.5 min read:

  • ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡จ Ecuadorโ€™s president rolls the dice.

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง French prosecutors charge a top Lebanese official with corruption.

  • โž• Plus: A tasty world record, how the papers are covering the dissolution of Ecuadorโ€™s legislature, and are young workers bad at work-life balance?

๐Ÿ—บ๏ธ AROUND THE WORLD
  1. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฟย Azerbaijan: Officials in Azerbaijan say theyโ€™ve foiled an Iranian-backed coup attempt by arresting seven saboteurs on Tuesday (16 May). Tensions between the two countries have been growing since a gunman attacked the Azerbaijani embassy in Tehran in January.

  2. ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑย Netherlands: British PM Rishi Sunak and Dutch PM Mark Rutte will form an โ€œinternational coalitionโ€ to help procure F-16 fighter jets for Ukraine. Any transfers of US-made F-16s would require US approval.

  3. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉย Indonesia: Authorities arrested Indonesiaโ€™s communications minister yesterday (Wednesday). Prosecutors say the minister may have embezzled funds that were meant for cell tower construction.

  4. ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ฒย Jamaica: UN chief Antรณnio Guterres has thanked Prime Minister Andrew Holness for offering to send Jamaican troops to trouble-stricken Haiti. No other country has offered troops yet, despite a plea from Haitiโ€™s prime minister.

  5. ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฌย Nigeria: Gunmen in Nigeriaโ€™s southeast attacked a US convoy late Tuesday, killing four local security and embassy employees and kidnapping another three. Officials say the attack was carried out by a separatist group.

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡จ ECUADOR | POLITICS

Ecuadorian President Guillermo Lasso.

Ecuadorโ€™s president dissolves parliament amid impeachment

Briefly: Ecuadorian President Guillermo Lasso dissolved the opposition-led parliament yesterday (Wednesday), hours after the start of his impeachment trial over alleged embezzlement. He announced the move via a tweet, followed by a video of the countryโ€™s security chiefs affirming the moveโ€™s constitutionality.

Trouble has been brewing for a while. Over recent years, Ecuador has seen:

  • ๐Ÿ“‰ a steady economic decline

  • ๐Ÿ“ˆ increased gang-related violence and,

  • ๐Ÿ‘ฎ allegations of corruption at the highest levels.

The right-leaning Lasso came to power in a surprise 2021 election win but soon faced opposition from a left-leaning legislature, which moved to impeach him earlier this year. That process looked set to remove Lasso from office within days, even though it stemmed from a contract signed under the previous government.

So after months of deadlock, Lasso used Ecuadorโ€™s muerte cruzada (mutual death) clause to dissolve the legislature and trigger early elections. Heโ€™s said heโ€™ll run for re-election and, in the meantime, is ruling by decree (overseen by Ecuadorโ€™s top court).

Intrigueโ€™s take: In a heated environment, folks can reach very different conclusions from the same set of facts. And thatโ€™s whatโ€™s happening in Ecuador:

  • โœŠย Opponents: Lasso is a right-wing figure whoโ€™s undermining democracy to avoid corruption charges and cling to power, ruling by decree and using the army for political purposes.

  • ๐Ÿ‘ Supporters: The left-wing legislature has ground the country to a halt, so the president has used the constitution to bring elections forward and let the people decide.

Soโ€ฆ which one is true? A lot depends on what Lasso does next: will he usher in swift elections and a smooth transition of power? Or will he use his new decree powers to push through controversial changes? Or maybe a mix of the two.

Also worth noting:

  • Lassoโ€™s approval rating was 13% in March. The legislatureโ€™s approval rating was around half that.

  • A key indigenous organisation in Ecuador, which led major protests last year, has described the situation as a โ€œdictatorship scenario.โ€

  • Lassoโ€™s first act with his new decree powers was to sign into law a bill that boosts tax deductions for families and tweaks them for small firms.

๐Ÿ“ฐ GLOBAL PERSPECTIVES

How different newspapers covered: The dissolution of Ecuadorโ€™s legislature.

Have you checked out Intrigue Outloud?

Did you know that every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, we drop a new podcast episode? It covers everything from Indo-Pacific security and Rwandan democracy, through to Israeli protests and Salvadoran politics. Hereโ€™s what you can expect:

  • Mondays and Wednesdays we add some extra colour to the biggest geopolitical stories of the week. At 10-15 mins long, itโ€™s perfect for your commute!

  • On Fridays, our very own Ethan Plotkin dives deep with politicians, ambassadors, military leaders, and analysts on the most pressing issues facing our world. Ethanโ€™s interview with a Rwandan opposition leader was a real highlight.

Make sure you donโ€™t miss out on tomorrowโ€™s episode with Turkish analyst Gonul Tol, who will help us understand how so many pollsters got the Turkish election wrong.

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง LEBANON | GEOPOLITICS

Lebanonโ€™s central bank governor Riad Salameh has a warrant out for his arrest.

French prosecutors issue arrest warrant for Lebanonโ€™s central bank chief

Briefly: French prosecutors have issued an arrest warrant (on corruption charges) for the long-time head of Lebanonโ€™s central bank, Riad Salameh. Salameh denies the charges and has called the warrant a โ€œviolation of lawsโ€.

Salameh was once considered the guardian of Lebanonโ€™s economy. But many now blame him for a financial implosion thatโ€™s plunged millions into poverty.

Half a dozen countries (including Lebanon) are now investigating him and his brother for fraud, including allegations they embezzled $330M over the years.

Intrigueโ€™s take: Just last year, European authorities froze $130M in assetsย linked to the investigation.ย Where thereโ€™s smoke thereโ€™s often fire, right? But honestly, we havenโ€™t seen this much smoke since Snoop Dogg came to town.

Of course, even if Salameh is guilty, that doesnโ€™t mean heโ€™ll face justice. Lebanonโ€™s powerful elite isnโ€™t exactly known for allowing these kinds of probes. Just last week, the Lebanese judge leading his investigation was dismissed.

Also worth noting:

  • Salameh, whoโ€™s been central bank governor for almost 30 years, has said heโ€™ll step down when his current term ends in July.

  • In 2021, the judge investigating the explosion at Beirutโ€™s port the year prior was removed after filing charges against government ministers.

๐Ÿ‘€ EXTRA INTRIGUE

When weโ€™re not working on your favourite newsletter, we read aboutโ€ฆ work.

๐Ÿ“ธโ€‹ PHOTO OF THE DAY

Credits: Vanguard News.

Nigerian chef Hilda Baci broke the world record for the longest cooking marathon after cooking, sauteing, chopping and braising for 100 hours straight. Baci prepared over 100 dishes in front of a crowd of supporters cheering her on.

๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ POLL TIME!

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Yesterdayโ€™s poll: Is the EU right in green-lighting Microsoft's Activision Blizzard acquisition?

๐ŸŸจ๐ŸŸจ๐ŸŸจ๐ŸŸจโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธ ๐ŸŽฎ Yes, Blizzard games will achieve new heights now (43%)

๐ŸŸฉ๐ŸŸฉ๐ŸŸฉ๐ŸŸฉ๐ŸŸฉ๐ŸŸฉย ๐Ÿงฏ No, they'll smother the competition (54%)

โฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธ ๐Ÿ–‹๏ธ Other (write in!) (3%)

Your two cents:

  • ๐Ÿ–‹๏ธ N.J.G.D: โ€œGiven Blizzard Activision's current track record, I don't believe it will be enough to launch Microsoft ahead of any competition. Hopefully some management change comes along to make the company a less toxic work environment!โ€

  • ๐ŸŽฎ M.M: โ€œDon't see what the big deal is, even if they had kept Activision's games console exclusive, you don't see Mario jumping around on a Playstation either…โ€