๐ŸŒ The EU and Tunisia sign migration pact


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Todayโ€™s newsletter supported by:

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Hi there Intriguer.ย Everyone loves a rescue story, and itโ€™s tough to beat this one: a decade ago, a Salvadoran fisherman went missing off the coast of Mexico. 14 months later, he washed up on the other side of the Pacific, having survived off raw fish and rainwater. But the world record goes to a Japanese captain who disappeared off the coast of Japan in 1813, and was found 16 months later near California.

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Todayโ€™s briefing is a 5 min read:

  • ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ณ The EU and Tunisia sign a major migration pact.

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Why Mali is ending up with sensitive US information.

  • โž• Plus: Spain is gearing up to vote, how the papers are covering the runup to Cambodiaโ€™s general election, and why the Oppenheimer film could be a warning for Silicon Valley.

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โฑ๏ธ Around the world in sixty seconds

  1. ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ทย South Korea: At least 41 people have died following massive floods triggered by heavy monsoon rains. President Yoon says heโ€™ll overhaul the country’s approach to extreme weather, adding “we must accept climate change is happening, and deal with it“.

  2. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บย Russia: Moscow has pulled out of the Black Sea grain deal thatโ€™s enabled Ukraine to keep supplying agricultural products to the world. In peacetime, Ukraine produced enough food exports to feed around 400 million people.

  3. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณย India: Fast food chain McDonald’s has dropped tomatoes from its menu in northern and eastern India after tomato prices quadrupled there in a couple of weeks. Bad weather and a mismatch between supply and demand are to blame for the shortages.

  4. ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡นย Guatemala: Chaos has gripped Guatemalan politics after the countryโ€™s attorney-general, accused of corruption by the US last year, announced the suspension of a leading opposition party ahead of Augustโ€™s runoff election.

  5. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทย Iran: The morality police will resume patrols to enforce Iranโ€™s strict modesty laws, 10 months after widespread protests rocked the regime. Women seen not wearing a head veil in public risk being arrested and taken to โ€˜re-education facilitiesโ€™ run by the police.

๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ณ Tunisia | Migration

Tunisia and EU ink billion dollar migration deal

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After months of speculation, Tunisia and the EU have finalised a deal to try and stem irregular migration from northern Africa. The negotiations culminated in a slightly awkward 4-way handshake between the leaders of Tunisia, Italy, the Netherlands, and the European Commission on Sunday.

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Boat departures from Tunisia to Europe have spiked in recent months, with some estimating 3,000 folks are embarking on the journey each day.

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So this deal seeks to respond with a package of five โ€˜pillarsโ€™:

  • ๐Ÿง‘โ€๐ŸŽ“ Opening more programs for Tunisian students

  • ๐Ÿ’ฐ Up to ~$1.1B in budget support for Tunisia (T&Cs apply)

  • ๐Ÿšข Activities to boost trade and investment with Tunisia, and

  • ๐Ÿ”‹ Assistance for Tunisiaโ€™s green energy transition.

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Thatโ€™s four non-migration pillars, really all in Tunisiaโ€™s favour.

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So whatโ€™s the 5th pillar the EU gets in return?

  • ๐Ÿง‘โ€๐Ÿคโ€๐Ÿง‘ More Tunisian cooperation on border control, anti-smuggling, and return operations, with ~$112M in EU funding.

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Intrigue’s take: Tunis needs this injection of euros to stabilise its free-falling economy, and Brussels probably needs Tunisiaโ€™s help to manage EU borders.

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But while the ink on the deal is barely dry, you can imagine the questions folks are asking around Tunisiaโ€™s human rights record, the presidentโ€™s authoritarian streak, and the sheer volume of euros on offer.

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The EU leader didnโ€™t take media questions on Sunday, but we can imagine her answers: on this issue at least, it seems the ends justify the means.

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Also worth noting:

  • โ‚ฌ900M of the EUโ€™s pledged budget support will depend on an IMF bailout which Tunisia just rejected due to the IMFโ€™s โ€œdiktatsโ€.

  • A UN body issued a rebuke after Tunisian President Saiedโ€™s comments about โ€œhordes of illegal migrantsโ€ earlier this year.

  • In March, Europeโ€™s parliament criticised Tunisiaโ€™s ongoing crackdown on civil society.

๐Ÿ“ฐ How newspapers coveredโ€ฆ

The run-up to this monthโ€™s Cambodian election

Phnom Penh, Cambodia

โ€œElection unshaken by dissent: National Election Committeeโ€

Bonn, Germany

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โ€œCambodia: Hun Sen holds control of media ahead of electionโ€

Hong Kong

โ€œCambodiaโ€™s Hun Sen poised to extend 38-year rule, without his favoured platform Facebookโ€

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Todayโ€™s newsletter is supported by: Care.com

Small word. Huge impact.

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$340 billion is spent annually on care. 10,000 people turn 65 every day. 80% of brain development occurs from the ages of zero-four. Itโ€™s when quality childcare is absolutely critical. 50% of families in the USA live in a childcare desert. Thereโ€™s the reality we all live inโ€ฆ

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And then thereโ€™s Care. Our purpose is to help every family at each stage of care and today, weโ€™re helping millions of families at home and at work across 17+ countries and growing.

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Mali | Intelligence & security

The US has accidentally been leaking info to Mali for a decade

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A simple typo has resulted in millions of sensitive US military emails ending up in Mali, according to The Financial Times.

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How?

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For a decade, many US military folks intending to send emails to .mil addresses (the suffix for the US military) have accidentally sent them to .ml, the suffix for Mali. And until yesterday (Monday), Maliโ€™s .ml domain was managed by a Dutch consultant, who tried to warn the Pentagon.

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But now that Russia-aligned Mali has resumed control of the .ml domain again, it potentially has access to information like:

  • ๐Ÿ“œ Staffing lists at US bases

  • ๐ŸŽ–๏ธ The travel plans for the US Armyโ€™s highest-ranking officer, and

  • โœˆ๏ธ Even corrosion problems impacting Australian F-35s.

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Intrigueโ€™s take: We didnโ€™t need a reminder, but we got one anyway: national security systems can actually be pretty fragile, because ultimately theyโ€™re made up of people. And people make mistakes. Big ones.

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Also worth noting:

  • Reportedly, none of the information sent to Mali was classified (such info is typically sent through separate encrypted systems).

  • Unclassified info can still offer valuable insights to an adversary.

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๐ŸŽง Today on Intrigue Outloud

A wheat field in Ukraineโ€™s Kherson region. Credits: Alexander Ermochenko/Reuters

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Why is Russia pulling out of the Black Sea Grain Deal with Ukraine?

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๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ Poll time!

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Are you open to new job opportunities?

Login or Subscribe to participate in polls.

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An Intrigue Job Board would be…

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And finally, a special poll for our podcast listeners!

Despite his Wimbledon loss, is Novak Djokovic the greatest male athlete ever? If not, who is?

Login or Subscribe to participate in polls.

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Weโ€™ll be running our female greatest-of-all-time poll next ๐Ÿ™‚

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ย 

๐Ÿ“Š Chart of the day

Data: Politico, 13 July 2023.

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Spaniards will head to the polls this Sunday after Prime Minister Pedro Sรกnchez called a snap election. Itโ€™s looking like a possible win for the centre-right opposition Peopleโ€™s Party, with Sรกnchezโ€™s incumbent Socialist Party trailing. But either way, the polls suggest a coalition government will emerge.

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Yesterdayโ€™s poll: If you were the leader of your own imaginary country, which world power would you want on your side, and why?

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๐ŸŸฉ๐ŸŸฉ๐ŸŸฉ๐ŸŸฉ๐ŸŸฉ๐ŸŸฉย ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US (65%)

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โฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธ ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China (9%)

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โฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง UK (2%)

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โฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India (5%)

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โฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธ ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท France (2%)

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โฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธ ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Turkey (1%)

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โฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธ ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท Brazil (0.4%)

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โฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany (9%)

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โฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japan (3%)

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โฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธโฌœ๏ธ โœ๏ธ Other (write in!) (3%)

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Your two cents:

  • ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธย S: โ€œWe (the US) are powerful and somewhat chaotic. I’m not saying we make great allies, but I think we’d make extremely stressful adversaries.โ€

  • ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณย A.G: โ€œI would definitely go with India. Population increment, high technology development (even space development), south-south cooperation, and leaders of relevant global south needs. I mean, why not?โ€

  • ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ทย J.S: โ€œFuture relies on material resources and big, unified countries to make agile decisions.โ€

  • โœ๏ธ M.M: โ€œIt’s too hard to choose in a vacuum, would depend on where my country is located, what its political system is, what drives its economy, what its security capability is etc.โ€