๐ŸŒ Top quotes from Shangri-La Dialogue


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Todayโ€™s briefing:
โ€” Quotes from this yearโ€™s Shangri-La Dialogue
โ€” Ukraine strikes Russian bombers in drone attack
โ€” Flag of the day

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Good morning Intriguer. Thereโ€™s something oddly curious about seeing world leaders not making speeches on podiums dressed in business attire, and instead doing normie activities – like working out in short shorts, for example.

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On one end of the category, youโ€™ve got footage of Obama sinking a three-pointer on the basketball court, or Modiโ€™s morning yoga stretch over a boulder, or even the late Queen Elizabeth II walking in the countryside with her pack of corgis (my fave).

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And on the other end, youโ€™ve got the sweaty muscle displays, most recently flexed by US Defence Secretary Pete Hegseth, who squeezed in a workout with US troops in Singapore for the Shangri-La Dialogue over the weekend.

Number of the day

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12ย 

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Thatโ€™s up to how many new nuclear-powered attack submarines the UK is expected to build in an effort to modernise and upgrade its current fleet.

Summit season

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Itโ€™s finally June, and you know what that means! Summerโ€™s The Shangri-La Dialogue is finally back, bringing together generals, leaders, security folks, and academics from 47 countries.ย 

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Here are five of the most intriguing quotes from this yearโ€™s summit:ย ย 

  • โ€œWe are here to stay. As a matter of fact, we are here this morning, and somebody else is not.โ€ – US Secretary of Defence Pete Hegseth

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In keeping with the tone of Trump 2.0, Hegsethโ€™s keynote speech was anything but low-key.ย 

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In this instance, he took a jab at China, which didnโ€™t send a defence minister to the summit for the first time in three years. Folks wondered if Chinaโ€™s move was ceding important diplomatic space to DC, and it has left many (including us) puzzled.ย 

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In addition to this quip, Hegseth set analysts scrambling by suggesting โ€œthe threat China poses is real, and it could be imminentโ€, in reference to a potential invasion of Taiwan. The Chinese Embassy in Singapore hit back, accusing the US of deploying weapons in the region and โ€œescalating tensionsโ€.ย 

  • โ€œIt is hard to believe, […], that I am saying this, but thanks to President Trump, Asian allies should look to countries in Europe as a new-found example.โ€ – US Secretary of Defence Pete Hegseth

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Yeah, you read that correctly.ย 

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Hegsethโ€™s comments are a far cry from his Signalgate messages describing Europe as โ€œfree-loadingโ€ and โ€œpatheticโ€, and come ahead of a NATO summit later this month. Europeโ€™s pledges to increase its defence spending seem to have pleased President Trump.ย 

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Hegseth appears to be suggesting that the USโ€™s Indo-Pacific allies must make similar pledges, now that the region has officially become Washingtonโ€™s โ€œpriority theatreโ€.ย ย 

  • โ€œIf China does not want NATO being involved in Southeast Asia or in Asia, they should prevent, clearly, the DPRK to be engaged on the European soil.โ€ย – French President Emmanuel Macronย 

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Macron took to the stage on the summitโ€™s opening day to deliver the first SLD keynote address by a European leader.ย 

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He kicked off his speech by reminding the audience that France is still an Indo-Pacific power, though โ€œitย is most of the time forgottenโ€ (ooft). Having laid these doubts to rest, he dedicated a significant portion of his speech to addressing what he described as โ€œdouble standardsโ€ on the world stage.ย ย 

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According to Macron, leaders are actively undermining the post-WWII order by declining to openly condemn Russiaโ€™s invasion of Ukraine, by failing to call out Israelโ€™s latest assault in Gaza, or, in Chinaโ€™s case, by criticising NATOโ€™s footprint in Asia while allowing North Korean soldiers to fight against Ukraine.ย 

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Inconsistency, he argued, will be the undoing of the rules-based global order. And what succeeds it will be much worse: a time of โ€œdivision of the world and a division between the two superpowersโ€.ย ย 

  • โ€œLike any critical system, [trade] must be protected not from competition, but from the onslaught of arbitrary imposition of trade restrictionsโ€ย – Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim

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Why is the Malaysian PM talking about trade at a defence conference? Simple, when exports make up nearly 70% of your countryโ€™s GDP, trade becomes a matter of national security and prosperity.ย ย 

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You can be sure his apprehension is shared by many Southeast Asian leaders and is a key reminder that if the US wants to strengthen its strategic footprint in the region, it will have a hard time doing so while also undermining Southeast Asiaโ€™s lifeline: trade.

  • โ€œState-sponsored cyber attacks are on the rise, and repeated damage to undersea cables, suspected to involve certain countries, these have had serious implications in the field relevant to defenceโ€ – Japanese Defence Minister Gen Nakatani

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Cyber attacks and โ€˜grey zoneโ€™ tactics have become central to how nations engage in conflict, and Nakataniโ€™s comment further proves this shift (while also throwing some serious shade at Russia and China). Most worryingly, Nakatani argues, these attacks โ€œundermine the very foundations of our societies and economiesโ€ by targeting public infrastructure.

Intrigueโ€™s Take

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Thereโ€™s been a pretty significant vibe shift in the past few months, and it was ever more evident at this yearโ€™s Shangri-La Dialogue: China and the US have gone from โ€˜strategic competitorsโ€™ to pretty outright open rivals. The gloves and muzzles are off. And secondly, defence and security are atop everyoneโ€™s agendas.

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And this is worrying the rest of the world: Macronโ€™s insistence on the rules-based order, Anwarโ€™s jitters around trade, Nakataniโ€™s unease at the use of grey zone tacticsโ€”everyoneโ€™s sensing the world is shifting beneath their feet, without knowing whatโ€™s around the corner and how to navigate it.

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Intrigue presents

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Tune in TODAY @ 12.00 PM ET!

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Join International Intrigue and Pulitzer Prize winner Anne Applebaum for a candid chat on her latest book, โ€˜Autocracy Inc.โ€™. We will dive into the strategies and tactics of modern autocrats, their interconnected networks for spreading disinformation, and the global fight for democracies to push back against this tide.

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Meanwhile, elsewhereโ€ฆ

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆย UKRAINE Kyiv hits 40 warplanes inside Russia.ย 
Kyiv has claimed its biggest attack on Russian territory on Sunday, after it targeted at least 40 Russian warplanes across four military bases. Ukrainian sources say drones were smuggled into Russia and hidden in trucks with remotely-operated roofs. Russia-Ukraine talks are set to resume in Istanbul today (Monday). (Kyiv Independent)

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Comment:ย Official accounts may vary on the details, but the Ukrainiansโ€™ use of drone warfare at scale throughout the war represents a revolution in military operations.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธย UNITED STATES โ€” Eight hurt in fire attack at Israeli hostage event.
Several people were injured by an attacker who threw Molotov cocktails and was heard shouting โ€˜Free Palestineโ€™ at an event in solidarity with Israeli hostages, in Colorado on Sunday. The FBI is investigating the incident as an act of terrorism. (BBC)

Comment: This is a grave and worrying development coming only days after a gunman killed two Israeli embassy staff in DC on 22 May.

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๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑย POLAND – Nationalist Karol Nawrockiย wins presidential election. ย 
Nawrocki prevailed over the liberal candidate Rafaล‚ Trzaskowski in Sundayโ€˜s presidential runoff, winning 50.89% to his 49.11%. His election deals a significant blow to Prime Minister Donald Tuskโ€™s pro-EU administration. (Politico)

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณย INDIA New Delhi admits fighter jets lost. ย 
Speaking to the media over the weekend, Indiaโ€™s chief of defence staff confirmed Indian fighter jets had been shot down during the most recent spat with Pakistan, although he did not disclose how many jets were downed. (Al-Jazeera)

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Comment:ย A high-ranking French official had previously said a Rafale fighter jet, sold to New Delhi, was downed in Mayโ€™s clashes, but India appears to have waited for the attention to dissipate before confirming significant losses.

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๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡ฐย HONG KONG Beijing appoints new liaison chief.ย 
Beijing has appointed a new liaison to Hong Kong and Macau, Zhou Ji, who quickly began his mission to the Special Administrative Region, visiting a community centre just days after his arrival.ย  (SCMP)

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๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฆย PANAMA Mining loophole.ย 
After months of protests, Panama City acquiesced and shut down a controversial mining project, but is allowing 120,000 tons of already mined copper to be exported to cover maintenance costs. (AP)

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๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฆย GABON Manganese given a deadline.
Gabonโ€™s President announced over the weekend that the country will halt all manganese exports by 2029, a critical mineral in stainless steel and battery production, and key revenue driver alongside oil and wood sales. (Barronโ€™s)ย 

Extra Intrigue

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๐Ÿคฃ Your roundup of the worldโ€™s lighter news

Flag of the day

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For many of our readers, todayโ€™s flag is obvious: New Zealand! Recognisable with a Union Jack in the upper left corner, opposite four stars to symbolise the Southern Cross constellation over the South Pacific Ocean.

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The flag has caused a bit of debate recently when a Mฤori artist wrote โ€˜Please Walk On Meโ€™ on a New Zealand flag and displayed it in art gallery exhibit, meant to stay for five months. The art piece only lasted 19 days, after facing significant public backlash. The artwork ignited an age old debate over patriotism, artistic expression and where the line is between the two.

Todayโ€™s poll

Do you think the rules-based international order will survive the next few years?

Login or Subscribe to participate in polls.

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Last Thursdayโ€™s poll: Which company do you think will have the most impact this decade?

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๐Ÿ“Ÿ Nvidia (25%)
๐Ÿš— BYD (13%)
๐Ÿคณ TikTok (4%)
๐Ÿš€ SpaceX (8%)
๐Ÿค– OpenAI (47%)
โœ๏ธ Other (write us!) (3%)

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Your two cents:

  • ๐Ÿค–ย D.S: At some point, the system’s effect of AI will need to be thought through. If there are fewer jobs available because of AI, what happens to the tax base, what happens to unemployed or underemployed people seeking meaning?

  • ๐Ÿš€ย C.D: โ€œThe space frontier is heating up, commercially, militarily, and politically. Terrestrial societies are critically dependent on space assets. SpaceX is dominating launch and employment in the West.โ€

  • ๐Ÿ“Ÿ A.P: โ€œChips run everything, and that puts the best chipmaker in the world in an extremely dominant position.โ€

  • โœ๏ธ R.O: โ€œ10 years is forever. None of these were known in 2015. I bet the most impactful company of 2035 is just a drawing on a napkin today.โ€