INTRIGUE’S LATEST
The global affairs briefing you’ll actually look forward to reading.
The geopolitics of the Winter Olympics
Italy’s Winter Olympics opening ceremony kicks off in just a few hours, meaning we’ll soon burn our evenings watching snowboarders called ‘Tanner’ and ‘Yui’ pull sick Frontside Double Cork 1080 Lien-to-Melon Reverts. But it also means that, as with any event bringing the world together, geopolitics is now in the air (doing a sick Frontside […]
Three elections we’re watching
Remember 2024? Us neither. But we are reliably told it was the world’s biggest-ever electoral year, with a majority of eligible voters invited to the polls. It felt like the new world order was being decided. And in many ways, that’s exactly what happened. But 2026 is shaping up to be another historic electoral year […]
The last US-Russia nuclear pact ends tomorrow
Some things are good to let expire — like your ✌️free✌️ LinkedIn Premium trial, or that Salesforce subscription sending you breathless 2am emails about Q4 pipeline hygiene. But what about the last remaining nuclear treaty between the two powers still sitting on ~90% of the world’s nukes? That’s what happens tomorrow (Thursday), when the US-Russia […]
Latest Articles
US and Iran on brink, again?
The question on everyone’s lips is no longer when this northern winter might end — Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow on Groundhog Day yesterday, meaning six more weeks of winter, though given this guy’s poor record of accuracy, maybe it’s time we stopped taking meteorological insights from a rodent in Pennsylvania? Anyway, the question is […]
Trade, travel, and security: three key world leader trips of the week
Any travel nerd will tell you the best time to fly is right after the holidays: lower prices, quieter lounges, fewer tantrums. World leader entourages are more likely to serve the tantrums than suffer them, but several are still travelling right now so let’s look at three: China’s year of the fire horse involves a […]
How ICE extends beyond the US
For a team of ex-diplomats normally more focused on events beyond the US border, US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) actions started as more of a domestic story. Sure, immigration enforcement is inherently international: those with big undocumented diasporas (Mexico, Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador) have long been issuing sharper citizen advisories urging their nationals to […]
The EU’s mammoth trade deals
The EU’s Ursula von der Leyen had three things on her India to-do list this week: Having successfully completed her list, VDL returned to Brussels, leaving the rest of us to ponder the significance of this new “mother of all trade deals”. And sure, there’s significance in the raw numbers, given it’s a free trade […]
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Geopolitics
The geopolitics of the Winter Olympics
Italy’s Winter Olympics opening ceremony kicks off in just a few hours, meaning we’ll soon burn our evenings watching snowboarders called ‘Tanner’ and ‘Yui’ pull sick Frontside Double Cork 1080 Lien-to-Melon Reverts. But it also means that, as with any event bringing the world together, geopolitics is now in the air (doing a sick Frontside […]
More Articles
Trade, travel, and security: three key world leader trips of the week
Any travel nerd will tell you the best time to fly is right after the holidays: lower prices, quieter lounges, fewer tantrums. World leader entourages are more likely to serve the tantrums than suffer them, but several are still travelling right now so let’s look at three: China’s year of the fire horse involves a […]
Trump’s Board of Peace wants to replace the UN
Boards are some of our favourite things: surfboards, hoverboards, smorgasbords… But there’s a new board in town: President Trump’s ‘Board of Peace’ for Gaza. He proposed it back in October as part of the Israel-Hamas truce, but headlines dried up (we were all a little distracted tbh) until last week, when the US shared more […]
What we know about the Bondi terrorist attack
The Jewish community’s Hanukkah flyer invited locals to “fill Bondi with joy and light.” Instead, father-son duo Sajid (50) and Naveed (24) Akram opened fire in an attack that’s left at least 16 dead (including Sajid) and ~50 more in hospital. So let’s get you up to speed on eight of the reasons why this […]
Why a Belarusian dictator is involved in negotiations for Maduro’s departure
Two crucial but seemingly unconnected things happened this week: Now let’s connect some dots: Dot 1 – Tuesday 10 December: the US attorney-general publishes a video of US troops descending from a chopper onto an oil tanker, with a caption that they “executed a seizure warrant for a crude oil tanker used to transport sanctioned […]
ECONOMICS
Why the IMF might be done and dusted… or not
It was a week ago that International Monetary Fund (IMF) head Kristalina Georgieva kicked off the Fund’s DC ‘spring meetings’ with an ominous note — “trade policy uncertainty is off the charts”. You could feel it in the DC air, with Intrigue sources confirming delegations from every corner of the globe were scrambling for meetings with […]
More Articles
The central bank war for independence
US stocks and the US dollar plunged again on Monday after the president colourfully called on Jerome Powell, the Fed Chair, to cut rates. Anyway, while this monetary soap opera plays out on the world stage, it’s reignited a debate that everyone thought was resolved decades ago: the notion that central banks must be independent from politics. Why? The […]
A moron premium in the US?
We’ve been writing about bonds before they were the flavour of the week. And events now dictate that we revisit bonds again. Who are we to argue with events, dear Intriguer? Typically if US stocks tank, spooked investors will shift their cash over into bonds — the ultimate safe-haven. Why? When you buy bonds (loan the US government money), […]
Did Trump just blink?
Just after our last edition hit your inbox, Donald Trump decided to: Of course, markets breathed a semi-sigh of relief. But… did Trump blink? Here are the three main arguments you need to know: Treasury Secretary Bessent argues this was all part of Trump’s successful strategy, with 75 countries now reportedly lining up to negotiate […]
Trump and Xi play chicken
We’ve already explored Trump’s tariffs, but it’s worth a quick recap of his rationale before we tour today’s wild ripple effects: And while he’s now slapped tariffs on everyone (otherwise he says China just reroutes via third countries), the big kahuna tariffs are now really on China. Building on earlier tariff rounds during Trump 1.0 and Biden… The […]
Technology
Behold… Pax Silica!
For those who didn’t blow a decade learning Latin so you can use the Vatican’s famous Latin-language ATMs, pax means peace and silica is the mineral throughout the Earth’s crust, like sand — refine it enough and you get the foundation of modern tech: silicon. The State Department just launched Pax Silica as a US-led […]
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Why this streaming mega-merger is everyone’s business
Just days after Netflix announced its $83B offer for Hollywood’s legendary Warner Bros studio, rival Paramount has now entered the fray with its own hostile $108B bid. And we haven’t seen a better love triangle since Edward and Jacob battled it out for Bella’s heart in the Twilight saga. But the world is now watching […]
Trump’s China chip reversal
In a shock tweet, President Trump has announced he’ll now allow Nvidia to sell its cutting-edge H200 AI chips to China after all, in return for a 25% cut payable to Uncle Sam. These chips are ~ten times faster than the throttled H20 chips Trump re-authorised in July. Intrigue’s initial take: This administration has wavered […]
Australian under 16s face social media ban
If your feeds seem a little off this week, it could be because hundreds of thousands of Aussies will soon go offline under Australia’s world-first social media ban for U16s. Why do this? Canberra says it’s about protecting children: whether it’s the WHO addictive use data or Jonathan Haidt’s best-selling book The Anxious Generation, there’s […]
The cybersecurity app you can’t disable
Remember the fury when Apple pre-downloaded a U2 album on everyone’s iPhones? Well imagine a repeat, but instead of Apple it’s India, and instead of that sweet Celtic blend of Bono’s messianic baritone with The Edge’s angelic delay-chimes, it’s a government-controlled cybersecurity app you can never ditch. India launched its new Sanchar Saathi (aka ‘communication […]

